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16 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1653
1-3Final setsWisniewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1582
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Olbrycht at 59%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Olbrycht favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Olbrycht −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Olbrycht −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 63% → final 13%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsWisniewski recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games