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16 Oct · 07:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WTWojciech Tobiasz
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1372
1-3Final setsMecik won
PMPatryk Mecik
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1364
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tobiasz at 52%. The actual result was Patryk Mecik 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Tobiasz favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 75.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wojciech Tobiasz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wojciech Tobiasz −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wojciech Tobiasz is favoured to win, below means Patryk Mecik.

▲ Wojciech Tobiaszpre 56% → final 11%
Patryk Mecik ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsMecik recovered from 24%72 points · 4 games