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16 Oct · 08:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MNMaciej Nowalinski
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1705
1-3Final setsRutkowski won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1558
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nowalinski at 65%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Nowalinski favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 74.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Nowalinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maciej Nowalinski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Nowalinski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Maciej Nowalinskipre 63% → final 14%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsRutkowski recovered from 27%70 points · 4 games