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16 Oct · 08:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1664
2-3Final setsPoliniewicz won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1659
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jendrzejewski at 50%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jendrzejewski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jendrzejewski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Patryk Jendrzejewskipre 54% → final 53%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 41 ptsJendrzejewski recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games