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16 Oct · 10:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1659
3-1Final setsPoliniewicz won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1632
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 51%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.27
Favourite won
Total 74.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 47% → final 100%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 30%64 points · 4 games