16 Oct · 14:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1372
FormLWLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1628
FormLWWWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 82% · 1.22· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+256
H2H95-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+256)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (95-25)