16 Oct · 13:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1664
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jendrzejewski
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1632
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Jendrzejewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (144)
Fair odds · Jendrzejewski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.