16 Oct · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1526
FormWWWWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Ruszkiewicz
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1280
FormLWWLW
75%
25%
🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 6% (17)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+246
H2H14-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+246)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-12)