16 Oct · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RK
🇵🇱Rafal Komandzik
ELO 1363
FormLLWLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1597
FormWLWWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+234
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+234)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)