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16 Oct · 16:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1526
3-0Final setsRuszkiewicz won
JPJerzy Pelka
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1489
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ruszkiewicz at 52%. The actual result was Adam Ruszkiewicz 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jerzy Pelka favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 76.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jerzy Pelka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jerzy Pelka −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Ruszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Pelka.

▲ Adam Ruszkiewiczpre 56% → final 90%
Jerzy Pelka ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts55 points · 3 games