16 Oct · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1527
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1597
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
🌟Koczyba rarely covers set handicap as underdog 29% (17)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)