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16 Oct · 16:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1597
3-2Final setsTkaczyk won
RARafal Adach
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1280
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 80%. The actual result was Henryk Tkaczyk 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Total 75.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Rafal Adach.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 80% → final 0%
Rafal Adach ▼
Biggest swing 95 ptsAdach recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games