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16 Oct · 12:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1503
1-3Final setsRutkowski won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1565
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 56%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Total 71.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Bartosz Sulkowskipre 47% → final 0%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 4 games