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← TT Elite Series predictions
16 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MNMaciej Nowalinski
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1711
3-0Final setsNowalinski won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1654
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nowalinski at 55%. The actual result was Maciej Nowalinski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Nowalinski favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 75.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Nowalinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maciej Nowalinski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Nowalinski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Maciej Nowalinskipre 52% → final 5%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 37%72 points · 5 games