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16 Oct · 14:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MNMaciej Nowalinski
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1711
3-1Final setsNowalinski won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1668
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nowalinski at 53%. The actual result was Maciej Nowalinski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Nowalinski favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 75.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Nowalinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maciej Nowalinski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Nowalinski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Maciej Nowalinskipre 57% → final 98%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts72 points · 4 games