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16 Oct · 16:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1390
3-1Final setsSkorski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1291
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 60%. The actual result was Michal Skorski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 76.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Skorski is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Michal Skorskipre 64% → final 98%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsSkorski recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games