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16 Oct · 16:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PWPiotr Wiciok
🇵🇱Piotr Wiciok
ELO 1461
3-1Final setsWiciok won
GWGrzegorz Wichowski
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1644
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wichowski at 70%. The actual result was Piotr Wiciok 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Wichowski favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 73.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Wichowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Wichowski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Wiciok is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Wichowski.

▲ Piotr Wiciokpre 25% → final 0%
Grzegorz Wichowski ▼
Biggest swing 25 pts46 points · 3 games