Michal Natkaniec vs Grzegorz Mucha — TT Elite Series

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16 Oct · 18:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec

ELO 1442

3-2Final setsNatkaniec won

🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha

ELO 1559

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 63%. The actual result was Michal Natkaniec 3-2 — the underdog won.

Michal Natkaniec — profile →Grzegorz Mucha — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Grzegorz Mucha favoured — closing 1.6

Upset

Total 77.5

93 points played

Over

Set handicap

Grzegorz Mucha −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Grzegorz Mucha −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

5.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Natkaniec is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Michal Natkaniecpre 39% → final 74%

Grzegorz Mucha ▼

Biggest swing 69 ptsNatkaniec recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games