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16 Oct · 18:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1292
1-3Final setsGronowski won
WGWojciech Gronowski
🇵🇱Wojciech Gronowski
ELO 1368
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gronowski at 58%. The actual result was Wojciech Gronowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Gronowski favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 75.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wojciech Gronowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Wojciech Gronowski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Gronowski.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 38% → final 4%
Wojciech Gronowski ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 4 games