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16 Oct · 19:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1327
3-1Final setsMichalski won
JOJan Orszulik
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1507
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Orszulik at 71%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Orszulik favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Total 75.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Orszulik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Orszulik −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
12
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalski is favoured to win, below means Jan Orszulik.

▲ Jakub Michalskipre 30% → final 84%
Jan Orszulik ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsMichalski recovered from 27%72 points · 4 games