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16 Oct · 19:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1292
3-2Final setsLukaszewski won
PSPiotr Strus
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1336
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Strus at 57%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Strus favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 77.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Strus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Strus −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Strus.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 46% → final 98%
Piotr Strus ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games