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16 Oct · 20:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JOJacek Oracz
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1660
3-1Final setsOracz won
MNMichal Natkaniec
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1442
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 72%. The actual result was Jacek Oracz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Oracz favoured — closing 1.16
Favourite won
Total 73.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Oracz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jacek Oracz −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Oracz is favoured to win, below means Michal Natkaniec.

▲ Jacek Oraczpre 77% → final 96%
Michal Natkaniec ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts72 points · 4 games