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16 Oct · 20:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WGWojciech Gronowski
🇵🇱Wojciech Gronowski
ELO 1368
3-2Final setsGronowski won
PKPiotr Krukar
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1392
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krukar at 53%. The actual result was Wojciech Gronowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Krukar favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 73.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Krukar −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Krukar −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wojciech Gronowski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Krukar.

▲ Wojciech Gronowskipre 50% → final 99%
Piotr Krukar ▼
Biggest swing 90 ptsGronowski recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games