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16 Oct · 20:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1327
3-1Final setsMichalski won
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1366
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cesarz at 57%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Milosz Cesarz favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 74.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Milosz Cesarz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Milosz Cesarz −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalski is favoured to win, below means Milosz Cesarz.

▲ Jakub Michalskipre 39% → final 94%
Milosz Cesarz ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsMichalski recovered from 21%68 points · 4 games