17 Oct · 00:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1442
FormLLLWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1660
FormLWLWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 82% · 1.22· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+218
H2H33-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+218)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-8)