17 Oct · 00:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1448
FormWLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Fira
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1327
FormWWWWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Fira
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H57-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-36)