16 Oct · 23:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1366
FormLWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Orszulik
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1507
FormWLLWW
35%
65%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 62% (66)
Fair odds · Orszulik
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)