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16 Oct · 23:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMichal Krutak
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1591
3-1Final setsKrutak won
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1548
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krutak at 54%. The actual result was Michal Krutak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Krutak favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Set handicap
Michal Krutak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Krutak −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Krutak is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Michal Krutakpre 58% → final 8%
Grzegorz Mucha ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsMucha recovered from 34%69 points · 4 games