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16 Oct · 23:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1345
3-2Final setsMichalski won
JOJan Orszulik
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1475
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Orszulik at 67%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Orszulik favoured — closing 1.3
Upset
Total 74.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Orszulik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Orszulik −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalski is favoured to win, below means Jan Orszulik.

▲ Jakub Michalskipre 35% → final 85%
Jan Orszulik ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsMichalski recovered from 31%72 points · 4 games