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17 Oct · 02:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JOJacek Oracz
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1669
2-3Final setsPawlik won
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1673
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 51%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 79.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Oracz is favoured to win, below means Cezary Pawlik.

▲ Jacek Oraczpre 47% → final 13%
Cezary Pawlik ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts72 points · 5 games