17 Oct · 04:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1430
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Mucha
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1548
FormLWLWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Mucha
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+118
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)