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17 Oct · 03:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMateusz Misiak
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1379
3-2Final setsMisiak won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1399
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 54%. The actual result was Mateusz Misiak 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Misiak is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

▲ Mateusz Misiakpre 42% → final 76%
Tadeusz Piotrowski ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsMisiak recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games