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17 Oct · 04:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1399
3-2Final setsPiotrowski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1273
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 61%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 58% → final 91%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 42 pts72 points · 5 games