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← TT Elite Series predictions
17 Oct · 04:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMarcin Marchlewski
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1613
3-1Final setsMarchlewski won
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1474
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marchlewski at 63%. The actual result was Marcin Marchlewski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Marchlewski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Marchlewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Marchlewski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Marchlewski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mleczko.

▲ Marcin Marchlewskipre 61% → final 92%
Bartlomiej Mleczko ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsMarchlewski recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games