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17 Oct · 06:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PZPiotr Zemla
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1629
3-1Final setsZemla won
TLTomasz Lojtek
🇵🇱Tomasz Lojtek
ELO 1363
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zemla at 76%. The actual result was Piotr Zemla 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Zemla favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Total 71.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Zemla −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotr Zemla −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Zemla is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Lojtek.

▲ Piotr Zemlapre 80% → final 98%
Tomasz Lojtek ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsZemla recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games