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17 Oct · 05:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1341
3-0Final setsMichalski won
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1359
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cesarz at 54%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Milosz Cesarz favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 73.5
63 points played
Under
Set handicap
Milosz Cesarz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Milosz Cesarz −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalski is favoured to win, below means Milosz Cesarz.

▲ Jakub Michalskipre 49% → final 94%
Milosz Cesarz ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsMichalski recovered from 40%62 points · 3 games