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17 Oct · 05:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1325
3-2Final setsWrobel won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1273
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wrobel at 54%. The actual result was Dariusz Wrobel 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Wrobel favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 75.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Wrobel is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Dariusz Wrobelpre 58% → final 95%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsWrobel recovered from 33%72 points · 5 games