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17 Oct · 05:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SBSebastian Baran
🇵🇱Sebastian Baran
ELO 1556
2-3Final setsKukawka won
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1523
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baran at 55%. The actual result was Milosz Kukawka 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Baran favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 73.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sebastian Baran −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sebastian Baran −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Baran is favoured to win, below means Milosz Kukawka.

▲ Sebastian Baranpre 59% → final 5%
Milosz Kukawka ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsKukawka recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games