17 Oct · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1493
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pytlas
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1471
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.