17 Oct · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1474
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kukawka
MK
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1523
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kukawka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)