17 Oct · 09:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1498
FormLWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1593
FormWWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)