17 Oct · 08:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1495
FormLLWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1618
FormLLLWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H42-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-20)