17 Oct · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1325
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Misiak
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1379
FormLWWWL
44%
56%
🌟Misiak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (13)
Fair odds · Misiak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H29-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-17)