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17 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1329
3-2Final setsWrobel won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1402
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 59%. The actual result was Dariusz Wrobel 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 73.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Wrobel is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

▲ Dariusz Wrobelpre 37% → final 99%
Tadeusz Piotrowski ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsWrobel recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games