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17 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1402
3-1Final setsPiotrowski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1252
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 65%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Total 73.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 63% → final 91%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts72 points · 5 games