17 Oct · 12:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1609
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Marchlewski
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1496
FormWWWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Marchlewski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~72 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)