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17 Oct · 10:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1411
3-1Final setsPiotrowski won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1308
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 60%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 76.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotrowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotrowski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 57% → final 100%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts71 points · 4 games