Marcin Marchlewski vs Sebastian Baran — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

17 Oct · 11:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski

ELO 1623

3-0Final setsMarchlewski won

🇵🇱Sebastian Baran

ELO 1534

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marchlewski at 56%. The actual result was Marcin Marchlewski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

Marcin Marchlewski — profile →Sebastian Baran — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marchlewski favoured — closing 1.45

Favourite won

Total 73.5

60 points played

Under

Set handicap

Marchlewski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Marchlewski −5.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

4.4

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Marchlewski is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Baran.

▲ Marcin Marchlewskipre 60% → final 90%

Sebastian Baran ▼

Biggest swing 70 ptsMarchlewski recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games