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17 Oct · 12:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1485
2-3Final setsBaran won
SBSebastian Baran
🇵🇱Sebastian Baran
ELO 1534
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baran at 54%. The actual result was Sebastian Baran 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mleczko favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mleczko is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Baran.

▲ Bartlomiej Mleczkopre 42% → final 99%
Sebastian Baran ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsMleczko recovered from 39%54 points · 3 games