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17 Oct · 13:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1411
3-2Final setsPiotrowski won
IDIgor Dabrowski
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1415
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dabrowski at 53%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 73.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Igor Dabrowski.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 43% → final 89%
Igor Dabrowski ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsPiotrowski recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games